Team Degenerate: Green Bay Packers and Week 8 NFL Betting Preview

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Team Degenerate is back after a little hiatus with a couple busy weekends in a row, including a trip to Green Bay, Wisconsin and Lambeau Field last week. With the Green Bay Packers enjoying a thrilling Thursday night win in Arizona, there is no better way to spend your Sunday than betting on some other games.

Just to touch on that game with the Packers not playing today, the spread was out of whack all week. It started out with Arizona favored by 3.5 points before the COVID news on Davante Adams and Allen Lazard. The line moved three points all the way to 6.5, which made no sense. Adams at most is worth two points to the line and probably more like 1.5. Lazard is worth nothing to the number.

Meanwhile, there was zero movement when J.J. Watt was announced out, which was huge because he was having a great year. It’s not too often you can get Aaron Rodgers as a sizable underdog, and that was a great opportunity to take advantage.

We will look to get back on track following a 16-24-2 start to the year and a loss of 10 units.

Indianapolis Colts -1.5 over Tennessee Titans 4 units

The Titans holding Kansas City to three points last week is one of the most shocking results of the NFL season considering how bad their secondary is. Coming off two huge wins over Buffalo and Kansas City is the time to fade the Titans. The Colts need this game to stay alive in the division race and Carson Wentz has low key been playing good football. This will be the first time all season Indy has its full offensive line healthy. Indy also matches up well because its strength on defense is defending the run.

Minnesota Vikings -3 over Dallas Cowboys 2 units

It does not sound like Dak Prescott will play and I don’t believe enough adjustment has been made in this line. Dallas has perhaps the worst backup quarterback situation in the league.

Denver Broncos -3.5 over Washington Football Team 1 unit

The return of Jerry Jeudy makes this Denver team underrated. Nobody wants to bet them after witnessing their Thursday night showing, so it’s a good opportunity.

Player Props

A.J. Brown over 70.5 receiving yards 2 units

Gets a weak Indy secondary, has over 90 yards in each of his last two games and Julio Jones is still out.

Chase Claypool over 52.5 receiving yards 2 units

With Ju Ju Smith-Schuster out for the year, look for Claypool’s role to expand. Denzel Ward is out for Cleveland

Devonta Smith over 4.5 catches 2 units

Smith has hit this number in three of his last four games and seven different opposing wide receivers have hit this number against Detroit this year

Deebo Samuel over 70.5 yards 2 units

Deebo has averaged 10 targets per game on the year and Jimmy G has nobody else to throw to besides Kittle.

Dalvin Cook over 84.5 rushing yards 2 units

With Dak likely out there should be more opportunities for Cook with a greater time of possession. He is now fully healthy coming off a bye.

Chris Godwin over 74.5 receiving yards 2 units

With Antonio Brown out and Marshon Lattimore covering Mike Evans look for Tom Brady to feature Godwin early and often.

James Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards 2 units

Robinson has hit this number four straight games with an average of 97 yards per game. Seattle has allowed 80 yards to a running back in five of its last 6.

Tee Higgins over 57.5 receiving yards 2 units

Ja’Mar Chase has been getting all the attention, but it was Tee Higgins who got 15 targets last week. He hasn’t been all that efficient this year, but that creates a buy low opportunity against the Jets.

 

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