Green Bay Packers: NFL Draft - QB Trey Lance

Green Bay Packers: NFL Draft Profile – QB Trey Lance

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Green Bay Packers: The next QB up in our draft profiles, Trey Lance.

Trey Lance – QB , North Dakota State – 6’ 4” 226 lbs

Trey Lance is one of the most unique QB prospects in recent memory. As a 4-star recruit, he was the highest ranked athlete to ever commit to the FCS dynasty that is North Dakota State. At NDSU, Lance first sat behind now Chargers backup, Easton Stick, before taking the reigns in 2019.

In 2019 Lance had one of the best FCS seasons ever, winning the Walter Payton award and throwing a remarkable 28 TDs and no interceptions. They won every single game (as is the expectation in Fargo, ND).

Due to the pandemic, Lance played just 1 game in 2020, where he was unconvincing at best, completing only 50% of his passes and throwing the first pick of his career.

This game raised question marks around the scouting community and with no formal interviews or in-person combine, it’s going to be very interesting to see how Lance is perceived come April 29th.

Positives

Trey Lance has the biggest arm in the class. There are numerous times on tape where he is effortlessly launching deep balls as much as 60-70 yards downfield. He has a clean release and reminds me somewhat of Green Bay Packers’ Jordan Love with his ability to sling it deep.

Unlike Love, Lance does a good job aggressively pushing the ball downfield without putting the ball in harms way. He set the NCAA record for most pass attempts without an interception in 2019. If his receiver is covered, Lance is more than happy to take off on the run.

Lance fires bullets accurately on the run. His accuracy is arguably better on the move than it is from within the pocket. He’s especially dangerous when he’s rolling to his right off of boot action. Again he throws these balls with intense zip.

Trey Lance is unfazed by the pass rush. He shows excellent poise under pressure, and doesn’t panic no matter what. Lance stands tall in the pocket and delivers throws without worrying about getting hit afterwards.

As a runner, Lance has a lot of burst as he accelerates through holes, thriving on wildcat and inverted read options where he’s running right up the gut. NDSU maximised his athleticism by running an awful lot of these QB Keepers with Lance. He is a borderline Josh Allen level runner, but with a slighter frame.

Negatives

Lance rarely needed to work through his progressions at NDSU. While there are instances where his primary read isn’t open and he moves to another target, they are few and far between. Usually Lance’s primary read is open, and if not, he’s likely going to run. Dedicating men to cover up his primary read may be a widely used strategy by opposing DC’s who meet Lance early in his NFL career.

Lance’s accuracy was inconsistent on tape. There are many instances where you can see where he is intending to go with the football and instead he misses his target by a few yards either high/low, forward/behind, or left/right, it’s a combination of them all.

FCS play was a walk in the park for Lance. His entire surrounding core was dominant, and he pretty much had everything going for him in his one season at North Dakota State. How will Lance deal with adversity in the NFL?

I’m not too concerned about the fact that he’s only played 1 game in the last year, but I’m sure some scouts will pin that as a negative, especially considering that his last game was probably the worst game of his career so far.

Overview

Lance is a raw prospect. Think the likes of Josh Allen or Carson Wentz. Guys with elite physical traits who are going to need a lot of coaching to adjust to the step-up in play from lower-level college football to the NFL.

I think Lance would benefit greatly from getting to sit and learn for his rookie season but if he does, then you run into the issue that he’ll have barely taken a meaningful snap for upwards of 2 years.

While the physical talent, the arm, the mobility, and sound decision making are all there, I’m worried about the lack of clarity in many other areas of his game. Whoever drafts Lance will be placing a large amount of trust in their coaching staff to get him ready for action.

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[…] (NOT Bison, there’s a difference) team that also has another great player in the draft of Trey Lance. Radunz was trusted to protect Lance’s blindspot, and did so […]

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