It was a tough way to start the season as Team Degenerate went 5-6-1 with a loss of four units, but there are 17 weeks to make that up. Having confidence in the Packers backfired in a big way, as did similar confidence in the Washington Football Team. Buffalo was another loss while the LA Rams and the Browns ended up being winners. The player props were a mixed bag. Time to move on to Week 2.
Green Bay Packers -11.5 vs. Detroit Lions
Well, that sucked last week. The Packers embarrassed themselves last week against the Saints and how they come out against the Lions will tell a lot. Beating the team with perhaps the worst roster in the NFL won’t prove much, but if they don’t look good it would be a real eye-opener.
Problems with Joe Barry, Kevin King and an undermanned defensive line coming into the season proved to be big concerns last week. Whether Aaron Rodgers is truly invested in this season is also a worthwhile question with how he looked last week. The Lions had a phony comeback in garbage time last week, but this is a terrible team that has a ton of injuries as well.
Since the Lions seemed to play hard in garbage time last week, a backdoor cover is always a possibility. This screams as a great spot for the Packers to get right in, especially at home in prime time. A first half bet is the best way to avoid the backdoor cover.
Pick: Packers first half -7.5
LA Chargers -3 over Dallas Cowboys 3 units
The Dallas Cowboys are getting way too much credit for their performance to open the season at Tampa Bay. Dak Prescott looked very good, but that game was only close because of four Tampa Bay turnovers. This has already made Dallas overrated to the public, and now Demarcus Lawrence and La’Rael Collins are out.
The offensive line looked tremendous for the Chargers last week and they really performed better than the scoreboard indicated. The Chargers are also a much more attractive team to bet on with Anthony Lynn no longer making decisions. This spread is too low.
Carolina Panthers +3.5 over New Orleans Saints 2 units
New Orleans will be without seven coaches for this game and are a little overrated following last week’s thrashing of the Packers. Just comparing current the rosters, Carolina is at minimum right there with New Orleans and are home underdogs. Christian McCaffrey looked all the way back from injury last week and the pass rush was dominant for the Panthers.
Cincinnati Bengals +3 over Chicago Bears 1 unit
Was able to get ahead of the closing number on this early in the week, which is critical. Betting against the Bears should be profitable every single week Andy Dalton is under center. The general public has also not caught on yet how much weaker the Chicago defense is this year. Joe Burrow was impressive against Minnesota last week and the Bears don’t have the horses to keep up with Ja’Mar Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd.
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 over Las Vegas Raiders 2 units
This is a brutal spot for the Raiders coming off a huge overtime victory against Baltimore and having to travel across the country on a short week. With Jon Gruden at head coach, it does seem like a classic letdown scenario. The Raiders were probably still partying into the week. Pittsburgh’s pass rush should be able to wreak havoc on an offensive line for Vegas that is much weaker this year than it has been in the past.
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 over Baltimore Ravens 1 unit
I hate going with the masses, but I don’t see how the Ravens can keep up here. Baltimore has a brutal injury situation and is built to bully lesser teams with its running game. When the Ravens have had to play teams like Kansas City, it has not gone well when they get behind. Mahomes has lit up the Ravens in his career and now gets a decimated secondary. Ronnie Stanley will be out on an offensive line that looked awful against a mediocre Raiders pass rush.